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Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan

Community Veteran
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Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan

It's still early days, but the main weather models are showing a major event to hit the UK on the afternoon of the 14th Jan. Some of the model outputs are showing a potential major storm, similar to that of the Burns' Day storm in 1990.
I expect the Met Office to provide some guidance either tomorrow or Monday (depending on the model outputs tomorrow morning).
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Community Veteran
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Re: Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan

Will Michael Fish be reading the report then? Grin
Community Veteran
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Re: Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan

Community Veteran
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Re: Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan

According to this.... (Portsmouth weather for Wednesday 14th..)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2639996
wind speed increasing during the day... expecting about 40mph wind by 1800 and remaining very strong all through Thursday..
DaveyH
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Re: Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-30740186
Because as we all know weather doesn't exist until the south gets some  Wink
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Re: Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan

Quote
The Met Office issued a yellow alert for Cumbria, Lancashire, Northumberland, Durham, Teesside and North Yorkshire, forecasting strong wind, heavy rain and a chance of snow.

First I've heard of it... Huh
Too late now of course, wind's been and gone... Grin
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Re: Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan

We had heavy winds and rain forecast for the past few days. We have had lots of flooding and strong winds. It was extremely mild yesterday but colder today with a bitterly cold wind. I guess it's winter Wink
Community Veteran
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Re: Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan


I hope this doesn't come off, as it will be an almighty storm if it does.
Community Veteran
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Re: Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan

As expected, the Met Office have just issued warnings for Wednesday and Thursday:
Wednesday:

Quote
A deepening area of low pressure is expected to track across the north of the UK during Wednesday and into Thursday. A spell of heavy rainfall is expected across many parts of western and southern England and Wales in association with this system, lasting from Wednesday afternoon until Thursday morning, when clearer, colder weather is expected to spread southeast.
The public should be aware of the risk of disruption  to travel due to standing water and spray as well as localised flooding.
Another Atlantic low pressure system is expected to deepen significantly as it approaches the UK. The low pressure centre is likely to track across the northwest of Britain, whilst an active frontal system comes southeast across England and Wales. This system has the potential to produce 20-40 mm of rainfall in the warning area, with as much as 60-80 mm over higher ground in the west. These rainfall amounts are likely to lead to standing water and also the risk of localised river flooding.
The track of the developing low is still open to some doubt, so this warning will be reviewed in the coming days to adjust areas as confidence increases
.
Thursday:

Quote
A deepening area of low pressure is expected to track across the UK during Wednesday and into Thursday. To the south of this system, gales or severe gales are expected to develop. Wind gusts of 50-60 mph are likely quite widely through the warning area, whilst gusts of 75 mph are likely around southern and western coasts and over exposed hills.
The public should be aware of the risk of localised disruption to transport and possibly power supplies.
Another Atlantic low pressure system is expected to deepen significantly as it tracks towards the UK. Unlike its predecessors, this system looks like taking a more southerly track, with the greatest risk of gales or severe gales being across Wales. England and parts of Northern Ireland. The strongest winds will be in southern and western exposure, where severe gales are likely. As well as the very strong winds, a band of squally rain is also likely to push southeast across England and Wales through the period.
The exact track of this system is still open to some uncertainty, and it is likely that this warning will be reviewed in the coming days to adjust the areas most at risk and also likely impact.

We won't know the full extent until about 12-24hrs before.
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Re: Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan

Quote from: DaveyH
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-30740186
Because as we all know weather doesn't exist until the south gets some  Wink
Very true. !
I Have no data to back it up but the south appears to have had as much if not more rain over the last 18 months than the north of England.
Community Veteran
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Re: Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan

The Met Office have updated their forecasts with more detail - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wza569RpKMw
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Re: Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan

We have had a very blustery day here in Essex today. Strong winds, lots of rain and a real drop in temperature Sad Sad
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Re: Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan

It's going to get worse - I think there's a decent chance of most of us seeing some snow tomorrow.
Community Veteran
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Re: Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan

No snow yet but very changeable weather ahead. Strong winds and rain in the forecast. Some snow expected next week.
Forecast
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Re: Potential Major Storm - 14 & 15 Jan

Most of the southern half of the UK can expect to see some snow over the weekend - whether it settles will remain to be seen.
Tomorrow looks very windy

I am surprised the Met Office has not increased their warning to amber. 80-100 km/h gusts for parts of the south east.