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Golbal Cooling - I really hope they are wrong

Community Veteran
Posts: 38,242
Thanks: 933
Fixes: 54
Registered: 15-06-2007

Golbal Cooling - I really hope they are wrong

Just seen this report http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/2008/06/02/livingston-and-penn-paper-sunspots-may-vanish-by-201... and some of the comments
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From the “I hope to God they are flat wrong department”, here is the abstract of a short paper on recent solar trends by William Livingston and Matthew Penn of the National Solar Observatory in Tucson.
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Let us all hope that they are wrong, for a solar epoch period like the Maunder Minimum inducing a Little Ice Age will be a worldwide catastrophe economically, socially, environmentally, and morally.
2 REPLIES
Community Veteran
Posts: 1,850
Registered: 11-08-2007

Re: Golbal Cooling - I really hope they are wrong

from this article:
http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/2008/05/21/sunspot-cycle-more-dud-than-radiation-flood/
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Livingston said their projections were based on observations of a trend in decreasingly powerful sunspots but reviewers felt it was merely a statistical argument.

i agree with the reviewers.  just because there's not much sun-spot activity at present doesn't mean there won't be any in the future.  might as well predict the outcome of penny tossing.
N/A

Re: Golbal Cooling - I really hope they are wrong

Penny tossing has two outcomes, sunspot prediction is harder [impossible as you say] than that - there might be some or there might not, but its as much a question of how many/what size etc too as I understand it.